Tools for building simulation models
The studies below provide risk equations for key health state transitions that can be used to build diabetes simulation models. They all report the equations in sufficient detail to enable other researchers to use them in their own models. We would welcome new contributions.
UKPDS risk factor time path equations
The UKPDS group has published risk factor time path equation that can be used in combination with the UKPDS Outcomes Model Version 2.
These represent treatment policies for metabolic risk factors such as systolic blood pressure that were observed during the UKPDS study and in the post-study follow-up period (up until 2002).
The equations can be used to understand the potential benefits from using newer interventions that are better able to control key risk factors.